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Monday, September 13, 2004

Grubby's Hand of the Week #17

No winner for Hand of the Week #16.

You already know that SB had K J. Because calling an all-in with KJ suited is bound to win one of these times, never mind the fact that it's lost the past dozen times he's played 'em. Happily, this time it did win him the pot, so he'll be calling big raises and all-ins with KJ in the future.

BB, however, could have still escaped unscathed. But nope, the pot was apparently big enough for him to want to call with his powerhouse K 7 (incidentally, the same hand but different suit as Hand of the Week #15... my attempt at a HoW in-joke).

I debated whether my fold was correct and posted this hand on 2+2 and received just a couple responses, but enough to confirm I made the right move. I was playing Party, but even Party players can't be that bad, right? Wrong.

But still... oooh, that big pot would've put me in a great position in that multi.


Grubby's Hand of the Week #17
for Monday, September 13, 2004

Prize: $30


The first person to correctly guess my opponent's hand before next Monday wins. Suits may or may not matter. One guess per person, please. Winner will be declared here that Monday. If there's no winner, the prize will increase $5.

If you sign up to Nostalgia through that link, the prize is doubled for you. Yeah, it's a casino. But it's one with no wage requirements and a 50 percent match bonus (up to $300) which they give you to play with upfront. They will remove this bonus upon your first withdrawal, so be careful. The trick to playing this is to bet big (if you can afford it, bet your entire deposit + bonus) on one hand of baccarat, craps, or roulette and then cashout (your withdrawal will hit NETeller within minutes). Blackjack will also work, but I'd recommend betting half your deposit + bonus to take advantage of splitting or doubling-down. The longer I play, the more I lose. I do, however, have success using this hit-and-run method at Nostalgia whenever they offer reload bonuses (which seem to be biweekly). So if you feel like gambling anywhere from $50 to $600 in one fell swoop, Nostalgia will pad that bankroll with 50 percent more.

Leave your guess in the comments section below. You can be Anonymous without registering through Blogger, but do include your name so I know whose guess is whose.

If you don't include contact info and you're the winner, email me after the quiz is over.

Good luck and good skills,




Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (9 handed) converter

MP3 (t2415)
CO (t976)
Button (t616)
SB (t775)
BB (t1943)
UTG (t515)
UTG+1 (t1115)
grubby (t855)
MP2 (t790)

Preflop: grubby is MP1 with T 9
UTG calls t30, 4 folds, CO calls t30, Button raises to t125, 1 fold, BB raises to t300, UTG raises to t515 (All-In), CO folds, Button raises to t616 (All-In), BB calls t316.

Flop: (t1792) T 3 8 (3 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: (t1792) 4 (3 players, 2 all-in)

River: (t1792) 2 (3 players, 2 all-in)

Final Pot: t1792
Main Pot: t1590 (t1590), between Button, BB and UTG.
Pot 2: t202 (t202), between Button and BB.


Playing all SnGs this month doesn't make for particularly compelling hands to pull. Most of the time you're heads-up, you win with the best hand, or you have the best starter but lose to a bad beat. Occasionally there's the oddball play that keeps you on your toes and makes you realize you can make money in SnGs.

This is a $50+5 SnG and is still early. One person already gone. Seems more like a $10+1, but let's check the handy HoleCardCam™ to see what a couple of my opponents had.

BB had A K. No oddball play there except that after this much aggression to you, it might run through your head that you're behind and will be drawing. If it were me, I wouldn't have reraised (this is my weakness), but I would call the all-in because I still have one of the top starters, I'm still in the game if I lose, I can knock two people out, and it's a chance to move into the lead.

UTG had A J. He 3bet all-in with AJo. Definite oddball here. But perhaps he was trying for the pot.

For the win and Oprah's Pontiac G6 (in spirit, that is... Poker Grub does not yet have Pontiac as a sponsor to make us look like we're fulfilling wishes when in actuality we've sold our Steadman soul and are providing a one-hour infomercial), what did the aggressive possible oddball Button have?

22 Comments:

Commented by Anonymous Anonymous:


must be QTo. it would take a most like that to take down a pot this big.

by the way, been lovin the blog for a while, keep up the good work.

Phill

phillsievers at h07mail dot com


8:02 AM 
Commented by Blogger Sean:


A5s


8:26 AM 
Commented by Blogger AlCantHang:


T9, just like the all powerful grubster.


9:18 AM 
Commented by Blogger BadBlood:


It makes too much sense, but I'll go with 9,9.


9:38 AM 
Commented by Anonymous Anonymous:


I think the button was making a stab at the pot, but realized he/she was short stacked. Something completely dominated like K-J suited...


11:09 AM 
Commented by Anonymous Anonymous:


Was tempted to say ducks, but I'm going to go with 44.


11:14 AM 
Commented by Anonymous Anonymous:


And of course, when I say 44, I'm tp.


11:14 AM 
Commented by Anonymous Anonymous:


The other two 10's

-AgentLace


11:30 AM 
Commented by Anonymous Anonymous:


6-6


1:46 PM 
Commented by Blogger NemoD:


presto baby, presto!

casino games are the spawn of the devil. true, i've made a few thousands casino whoring, but when i give my dad a hundred pounds plus a bonus to just play around with, he can win and lose a thousand without blinking an eye. i guess some personalities just don't mesh with slots/blackjack.


3:29 PM 
Commented by Anonymous Anonymous:


88

He was trying to steal and when he got raised, hoped that both raisers were on big cards with no pairs.


4:38 PM 
Commented by Blogger grubby:


As always, NemoD, we should only be betting what we can afford to lose. Failing that, Oprah will always be there to bail us out (anyone notice they gave the scholarship to the homeless girl *after* they gave her a makeover? Hmmm...).


6:23 PM 
Commented by Blogger Roberto Roundtree Rogelio:


7,7 ....... "Depends"


Johnny FlopBoot


9:17 AM 
Commented by Anonymous Anonymous:


I'm goin with AQ. Makes a bit too much sense to be the HoW, but oh well.


9:35 AM 
Commented by Blogger ZHH83:


2-2. Deuces for the set.


1:53 PM 
Commented by Anonymous Anonymous:


I would go with the all too powerful A/10 letting the oddball Button take down the pot with the worst preflop hand.

jdrew515


4:22 PM 
Commented by Anonymous Anonymous:


T-2, AGAIN

-Pengy


5:57 PM 
Commented by Anonymous Anonymous:


mmm KJ perhaps? -hypnotik117


8:26 PM 
Commented by Anonymous Anonymous:


Gotta be crabs. 33.


10:46 PM 
Commented by Blogger ToddCommish:


Awww, dammit, I was gonna say Presto, because it's gotta be a pocket pair, probably low. Let's see, what's left...?

Oh, I know.... THE HAMMER! With the pair of deuces taking the pot.


12:01 PM 
Commented by Blogger Mike:


A8c


9:43 AM 
Commented by Blogger grubby:


Quiz is over. You won't believe what the Button had. I can't even post it here, it doesn't deserve to be in the company with the above better guesses. You'll have to check HoW #18 for the answer. At least it was suited...


7:30 PM 

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